Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
29.59% | 23.4% | 47% |
Both teams to score 60.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.59% | 40.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.21% | 62.78% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% | 61.21% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% | 17.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.06% | 47.93% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.17% 1-0 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-1 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 5.43% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.94% Total : 47.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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