Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

Apr 29, 2021 at 10.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
3 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Koutroumbis (32' og.), Jamieson (59'), MacLaren (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ugarkovic (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Newcastle Jets
65.95%	17.9%	16.14%

Both teams to score 62.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.51%

30.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.22%

51.78%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.32%

8.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.11%

29.88%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12%

31.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68%

68.32%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 65.95%

Newcastle Jets 16.14%

Draw 17.9%

Melbourne City	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 6.76% 3-0 @ 6.74% 4-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 4.4% 4-0 @ 4.12% 4-2 @ 2.69% 5-1 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 2.01% 5-2 @ 1.32% 4-3 @ 1.03% 6-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.52% Total : 65.95%	1-1 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 2.77% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.9%	1-2 @ 4.42% 0-1 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-2 @ 1.81% 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.01% Total : 16.14%