Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
May 14, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Macarthur3 - 1Victory
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 46.74% | 23.56% | 29.69% |
| Both teams to score 60.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
