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Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
May 22, 2021 at 10.10am UK
AAMI Park
Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Central Coast

Noone (59')
Noone (32'), Tilio (63'), O'Neill (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simon (10'), Stajcic (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
61.95%19.79%18.25%
Both teams to score 59.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.17%35.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.09%57.91%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.85%11.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.4%35.59%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08%32.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51%69.49%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 61.95%
    Central Coast Mariners 18.25%
    Draw 19.79%
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.18%
3-0 @ 6.46%
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.94%
4-0 @ 3.54%
4-2 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.73%
5-0 @ 1.56%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 5.45%
0-0 @ 3.67%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.79%
1-2 @ 4.97%
0-1 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 18.25%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Central Coast

Melbourne City
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Central Coast Mariners
10.0%
20
rhs 2.0


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