Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

May 13, 2021 at 10.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
4 - 1
Adelaide United

Jamieson (8'), Galloway (45'), MacLaren (72' pen., 82')
Noone (45+2'), Griffiths (45+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Halloran (51')
Mauk (23'), Caletti (57'), Halloran (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
64.89%	17.74%	17.37%

Both teams to score 65.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.8%

27.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.25%

47.75%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.98%

8.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.74%

28.27%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57%

28.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81%

64.19%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 64.89%

Adelaide United 17.37%

Draw 17.74%

Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-0 @ 6.11% 1-0 @ 5.76% 4-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 3.85% 4-2 @ 3.05% 5-1 @ 2.45% 5-0 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 1.54% 4-3 @ 1.28% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.15% Total : 64.89%	1-1 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 2.28% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.74%	1-2 @ 4.55% 0-1 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.91% 0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.83% Total : 17.37%