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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
May 16, 2021 at 7.05am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2 - 2
Wellington
Tsubaki (58'), MacLaren (81')
O'Neill (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hemed (37' pen., 88')
Lewis (79'), Hemed (89'), McGarry (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
68.15%17.12%14.73%
Both teams to score 61.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.38%29.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.26%50.74%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.02%7.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.84%28.16%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44%69.56%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 68.15%
    Wellington Phoenix 14.73%
    Draw 17.12%
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 7.87%
3-0 @ 7.09%
1-0 @ 6.65%
4-1 @ 4.97%
4-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 4.36%
4-2 @ 2.76%
5-1 @ 2.51%
5-0 @ 2.27%
5-2 @ 1.4%
6-1 @ 1.06%
4-3 @ 1.02%
6-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 68.15%
1-1 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 2.63%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.12%
1-2 @ 4.09%
0-1 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-2 @ 1.62%
1-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Wellington

Melbourne City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Wellington Phoenix
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2021 10.10am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
2-3
Melbourne City
Hemed (39'), Davila (56')
Fenton (58'), Laws (62'), Devlin (88')
Good (17'), MacLaren (45'), Tilio (83')
Berenguer (55')
Feb 15, 2020 6am
Gameweek 19
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Ball (58')
Davila (43'), Hooper (90')
Nov 3, 2019 5am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
3-2
Wellington
Metcalfe (30'), Galloway (34'), Noone (63' pen.)
Najjar (29'), Noone (43'), Genreau (45'), Galloway (51')
Hooper (24'), Waine (93')
Apr 21, 2019 8am
Gameweek 26
Wellington
3-2
Melbourne City
Krishna (27', 51', 94')
McGree (42', 66')
Brattan (31'), Griffiths (33'), Harrison (64')
Jan 26, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 16
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Williams (5')
Taylor (61'), Durante (95')

Delbridge (17'), Schenkeveld (38'), Griffiths (51')
rhs 2.0
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