Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 46.09% | 23.28% | 30.63% |
| Both teams to score 62.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.75% | 39.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.42% | 61.58% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% | 17.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.22% | 47.77% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% | 24.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.47% | 59.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% 1-0 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.09% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.63% |