Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

May 31, 2021 at 10.05am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
1 - 2
Macarthur

Guarrotxena (63')
Wales (39'), Hamill (42')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Susaeta (27'), Milligan (31')
Martis (9'), Ruhs (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Macarthur in this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Macarthur
37.19%	23.99%	38.82%

Both teams to score 61.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.18%

40.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.79%

63.2%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02%

21.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.72%

55.28%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83%

21.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.96%

54.03%

Score Analysis

Western United 37.19%

Macarthur 38.82%

Draw 23.98%

Western United	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.29% 1-0 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.19%	1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.65% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 8.5% 0-1 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.74% Total : 38.82%