Australian A-League

Jun 20, 2021 at 7.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
2 - 0
Macarthur

Colakovski (54'), Tilio (55')
Berenguer (30'), O'Neill (84'), Garuccio (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

M'Mombwa (59'), Susnjar (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.57%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 21.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
57.57%	21.19%	21.24%

Both teams to score 59.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.07%

37.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.81%

60.19%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.99%

13.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.45%

39.55%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77%

31.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43%

67.57%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 57.57%

Macarthur 21.24%

Draw 21.19%

Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 6.68% 3-0 @ 5.74% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.41% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.78% Total : 57.57%	1-1 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.19%	1-2 @ 5.61% 0-1 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.68% Total : 21.24%