| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 24.26% | 22.57% | 53.17% |
| Both teams to score 59.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.18% | 40.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% | 63.21% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% | 30.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% | 66.41% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% | 15.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% | 44.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% 1-0 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.26% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.65% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-1 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-3 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 2.85% 0-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.17% |