| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 66.64% | 18.95% | 14.4% |
| Both teams to score 53.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.52% | 39.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.17% | 61.82% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% | 10.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.76% | 35.24% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% | 39.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.5% | 76.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 7.24% 4-0 @ 4.34% 4-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.33% 5-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 4.21% Total : 66.64% | 1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.95% | 1-2 @ 4.09% 0-1 @ 4.03% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.4% |