Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Feb 9, 2022 at 8.05am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington

Wellington
1 - 0
Victory

Piscopo (74')
Ball (57'), Fenton (76'), Piscopo (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne Victory
41.22%	24.22%	34.57%

Both teams to score 60.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72%

42.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31%

64.69%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33%

20.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75%

53.26%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68%

58.32%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 41.22%

Melbourne Victory 34.57%

Draw 24.21%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.8% 1-0 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.83% Total : 41.22%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 7.96% 0-1 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.57%

Wellington1 - 0Victory

Data Analysis

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Wellington
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Victory