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Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Feb 22, 2022 at 8.55am UK
AAMI Park
Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne City
3 - 2
Central Coast

MacLaren (45+7' pen.), Berenguer (57'), Tilio (74')
Leckie (13'), Glover (35'), O'Neill (48'), Galloway (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Kololo (45'), Bozanic (65')
N'Kololo (7'), Montgomery (90+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
62.21%19.97%17.81%
Both teams to score 58.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.51%37.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.28%59.71%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.43%11.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.48%36.52%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61%34.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9%71.1%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 62.21%
    Central Coast Mariners 17.81%
    Draw 19.97%
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 7.1%
3-0 @ 6.65%
4-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.79%
4-0 @ 3.59%
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.65%
5-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 62.21%
1-1 @ 9.16%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 3.98%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.97%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-1 @ 4.25%
0-2 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 17.81%

rhs 2.0


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