Newcastle Jets
2 - 4
Melbourne City

Mikeltadze (59' pen.), Thurgate (84')
O'Doherty (39'), Siatravanis (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Berenguer (40'), MacLaren (52', 66'), Leckie (56')
MacLaren (21'), Nabbout (42'), Glover (77'), O'Neill (90+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne City
23.11%	22.73%	54.16%

Both teams to score 57.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.22%

42.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82%

65.18%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72%

32.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22%

68.78%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.26%

15.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.16%

44.84%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 23.11%

Melbourne City 54.16%

Draw 22.73%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.01% 1-0 @ 5.75% 2-0 @ 3.25% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.11%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 8.69% 1-3 @ 6.05% 0-3 @ 5.35% 2-3 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.48% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.63% Total : 54.16%