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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 at 5.05am UK
Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford
Melbourne City

Central Coast
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Urena (41')
Farrell (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
MacLaren (18'), Nabbout (57'), Jenkinson (84')
Bos (16'), Stokes (45+2'), Metcalfe (55'), Berenguer (84')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 0-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
20.35%21.29%58.35%
Both teams to score 58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.33%39.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98%62.01%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94%33.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34%69.65%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.65%13.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.78%40.22%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 20.35%
    Melbourne City 58.35%
    Draw 21.29%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.44%
1-0 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-1 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 20.35%
1-1 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 5.48%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 8.95%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 6.65%
0-3 @ 6.01%
2-3 @ 3.68%
1-4 @ 3.35%
0-4 @ 3.03%
2-4 @ 1.85%
1-5 @ 1.35%
0-5 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 58.35%

Head to Head
May 22, 2021 10.10am
Gameweek 8
Melbourne City
1-0
Central Coast
Noone (59')
Noone (32'), Tilio (63'), O'Neill (66')

Simon (10'), Stajcic (63')
Mar 22, 2021 8.05am
Gameweek 13
Melbourne City
2-0
Central Coast
MacLaren (31'), Atkinson (56')
Metcalfe (45'), Luna (49')

Bozanic (42'), Tongyik (52'), Stajcic (85')
Feb 3, 2021 8.05am
Gameweek 25
Central Coast
3-2
Melbourne City
Cassella (41'), Simon (57' pen.), De Silva (80')
Cassella (53')
Luna (23'), MacLaren (31')
Stokes (35'), Atkinson (64')
Stokes (60')
Mar 20, 2020 6.30am
Nov 8, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 5
Melbourne City
3-1
Central Coast
Good (17'), Luna (59'), Griffiths (82')
Wales (50'), Bouzanis (89')
Murray (89')
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