Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 23.75% | 21.62% | 54.63% |
| Both teams to score 61.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% | 36.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.93% | 59.07% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% | 64.29% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% | 13.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% | 40.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.08% 1-0 @ 4.85% 2-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.41% Total : 23.75% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 6.45% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 4.05% 1-4 @ 3.22% 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 2.02% 1-5 @ 1.29% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.74% Total : 54.63% |