Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
41.79% | 24.87% | 33.34% |
Both teams to score 57.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.4% | 45.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.07% | 67.93% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% | 21.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.97% | 55.04% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.67% | 26.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.53% | 61.48% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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