Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 33.73% | 24.8% | 41.48% |
| Both teams to score 57.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% | 45.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% | 67.52% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% | 21.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.02% | 54.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.48% |