Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
