Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 32.61% | 24.31% | 43.08% |
| Both teams to score 59.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% | 43.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% | 65.64% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% | 25.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% | 60.54% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% | 20.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.44% | 52.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.61% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.92% Total : 43.08% |