Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
32.61% | 24.31% | 43.08% |
Both teams to score 59.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% | 43.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% | 65.64% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% | 25.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.46% | 60.54% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% | 20.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.44% | 52.55% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.61% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.92% Total : 43.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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