Wellington
3 - 1
Macarthur

Piscopo (12' pen.), Sotirio (71', 78')
Sutton (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Davila (58')
Rose (50'), Mutch (61'), Najjar (73')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
45.24%	23.73%	31.02%

Both teams to score 60.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.78%

41.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38%

63.61%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51%

18.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.31%

49.69%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36%

25.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47%

60.53%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 45.24%

Macarthur 31.02%

Draw 23.72%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.53% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 7.41% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.02%