Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 43.07% | 25.97% | 30.96% |
| Both teams to score 53.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% | 51.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% | 73% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% | 57.68% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% | 30.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.14% | 66.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.96% |