Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 26.3% | 23.17% | 50.53% |
| Both teams to score 59.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% | 64.11% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% | 29.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% | 65.04% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% | 16.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.53% | 46.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.35% Total : 26.3% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-1 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 5.75% 0-3 @ 4.66% 2-3 @ 3.55% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.53% |