Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
26.3% | 23.17% | 50.53% |
Both teams to score 59.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% | 41.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% | 64.11% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% | 29.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% | 65.04% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% | 16.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.53% | 46.47% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 6.61% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.35% Total : 26.3% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-1 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 5.75% 0-3 @ 4.66% 2-3 @ 3.55% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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