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Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2022 at 8.55am UK
AAMI Park
Adelaide United

Melbourne City
1 - 2
Adelaide United

MacLaren (11')
Reis (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopez (20'), Toure (85')
Oliveira (10'), Juande (17'), Mauk (42'), Barr (67')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
57.31%21.45%21.24%
Both teams to score 58.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81%39.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48%61.52%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5%13.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.46%40.54%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05%31.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 57.31%
    Adelaide United 21.24%
    Draw 21.45%
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3.3%
4-0 @ 2.89%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 4.31%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 5.62%
0-1 @ 4.92%
0-2 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 21.24%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Adelaide United

Melbourne City
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Adelaide United
9.1%
11