Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
57.31% | 21.45% | 21.24% |
Both teams to score 58.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.81% | 39.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.48% | 61.52% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.5% | 13.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.46% | 40.54% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% | 31.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% | 68.41% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 8.65% 1-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 3.3% 4-0 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.49% Total : 57.31% | 1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.62% 0-1 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.54% Total : 21.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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