Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 37.54% | 25.85% | 36.61% |
| Both teams to score 54.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% | 49.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% | 71.56% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% | 25.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% | 60.69% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% | 26.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% | 61.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.54% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.61% |