Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 42.86% | 25.84% | 31.3% |
| Both teams to score 53.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% | 50.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% | 72.41% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% | 23.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% | 57.4% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% | 30.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% | 66.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.3% |