Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
32.28% | 25.26% | 42.47% |
Both teams to score 55.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% | 47.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% | 69.85% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% | 28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% | 63.64% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% | 22.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.13% | 55.88% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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