Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 36.95% | 24.24% | 38.81% |
| Both teams to score 60.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.95% | 42.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% | 64.46% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% | 22.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.71% | 56.3% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% | 21.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% | 54.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-1 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.81% |