Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 42.59% | 23.95% | 33.46% |
| Both teams to score 60.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% | 41.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% | 63.68% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% | 19.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.41% | 51.59% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% | 24.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% | 58.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.16% Total : 42.59% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-1 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.46% |