Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 53.06% | 22.13% | 24.81% |
| Both teams to score 61.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% | 38.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% | 14.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.47% | 42.52% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% | 64.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-1 @ 5.19% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.48% Total : 24.81% |