Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 34.13% | 23.18% | 42.69% |
| Both teams to score 64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.66% | 37.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.45% | 59.55% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% | 21.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% | 55.28% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% | 17.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% | 48.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.48% Total : 34.13% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.68% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-1 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.85% Total : 42.69% |