Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.9% | 24.02% | 43.07% |
Both teams to score 60.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.16% | 41.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.76% | 64.24% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% | 24.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% | 59.37% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% | 19.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% | 51.62% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.71% 1-0 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.13% Total : 43.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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