Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

May 29, 2021 at 10.10am UK

Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide

Adelaide United
1 - 4
Sydney FC

Dukuly (89')
Elsey (41')

FT(HT: 0-1)

le Fondre (6', 54'), Bobo (58'), Wood (71')
Wood (88'), Van Der Saag (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Sydney FC
32.9%	24.02%	43.07%

Both teams to score 60.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.16%

41.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.76%

64.24%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2%

24.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63%

59.37%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.35%

19.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.37%

51.62%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 32.9%

Sydney FC 43.07%

Draw 24.02%

Adelaide United	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 7.71% 1-0 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.9%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.13% Total : 43.07%