Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
38.17% | 25.29% | 36.54% |
Both teams to score 56.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% | 46.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% | 69.24% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% | 24.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.4% | 58.6% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% | 25.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% | 59.84% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.93% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 36.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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