Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 43.39% | 25.3% | 31.31% |
| Both teams to score 55.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% | 48.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% | 70.35% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% | 22.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% | 55.56% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.31% |