Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 29.28% | 23.93% | 46.8% |
| Both teams to score 58.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% | 43.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% | 65.46% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% | 27.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% | 63.24% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% | 18.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% | 49.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.24% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.28% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.44% Total : 46.8% |