Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
59.36% | 22.07% | 18.56% |
Both teams to score 52.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.18% | 45.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% | 68.14% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% | 15.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% | 43.57% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% | 38.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% | 75.26% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.53% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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