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Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
May 21, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Hunter Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

O'Shea (61' og.)
Hoffman (42'), Boogaard (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Danzaki (34'), O'Shea (73')
Gillesphey (21'), Neville (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
38.4%24.3%37.3%
Both teams to score 60.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.66%42.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.25%64.75%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95%22.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62%55.39%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4%22.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78%56.22%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 38.4%
    Brisbane Roar 37.3%
    Draw 24.3%
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.47%
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.4%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.3%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets
31.3%
Draw
6.3%
Brisbane Roar
62.5%
48
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2021 7.10am
Gameweek 20
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Newcastle Jets
Daley (65'), Aldred (75')
Prso (57'), O'Donovan (81')
Jan 20, 2021 8.05am
Mar 20, 2020 8.30am
Dec 28, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 12
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Petratos (32')
Hoffman (44'), Topor-Stanley (58'), Thurgate (77')
Inman (87')
Bowles (56')
Apr 20, 2019 8.35am
Gameweek 26
Brisbane Roar
1-6
Newcastle Jets
Duncan (49')
Champness (23', 68'), O'Donovan (27', 55'), Petratos (65'), Appiah-Kubi (92')
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