Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 47.67% | 23.62% | 28.71% |
| Both teams to score 59.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.59% | 64.41% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% | 17.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.43% | 48.56% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% | 63.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.74% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.71% |