Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.55%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Perth Glory in this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 45.24% | 21.94% | 32.81% |
| Both teams to score 68.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.39% | 31.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.89% | 53.11% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% | 14.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.06% | 42.94% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% | 19.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% | 52.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% 1-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.43% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 7% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 2.4% Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-2 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.51% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.81% |