Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.55%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Perth Glory in this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
45.24% | 21.94% | 32.81% |
Both teams to score 68.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.39% | 31.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.89% | 53.11% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.27% | 14.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.06% | 42.94% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.02% | 19.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.84% | 52.16% |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.69% 1-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.43% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 7% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 2.4% Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-2 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.51% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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