Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 51.01% | 23.75% | 25.23% |
| Both teams to score 56.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% | 45.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% | 67.56% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% | 17.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% | 48.46% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% | 31.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% | 68.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.65% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.68% Total : 25.23% |