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Australian A-League
Jun 13, 2021 at 6.05am UK
Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex 1
Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
Adelaide United

Parsons (56')
Aldred (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Juric (15', 19')
D'Arrigo (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
37.78%24.24%37.98%
Both teams to score 60.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97%42.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57%64.44%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78%22.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36%55.64%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51%55.49%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 37.78%
    Adelaide United 37.98%
    Draw 24.24%
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.78%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-1 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.98%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
67.9%
Draw
21.4%
Adelaide United
10.7%
28
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 9.10am
Gameweek 13
Adelaide United
1-0
Brisbane Roar
Goodwin (23')
Caletti (14'), Halloran (79'), Yengi (90')

Neville (90')
Jan 30, 2021 10.15am
Gameweek 9
Brisbane Roar
3-1
Adelaide United
Wenzel-Halls (37', 78'), O'Shea (45')
O'Shea (56'), Trewin (66'), Brown (87')
Jul 19, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Adelaide United

McDonald (34'), Ridenton (35')
Fardal Opseth (6')
Mauk (36')
Feb 8, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 18
Brisbane Roar
2-1
Adelaide United
Muratovic (68'), Aldred (74')
Pepper (21'), Bowles (62'), Hingert (85'), McDonald (95')
Halloran (58')
Jakobsen (42'), Izzo (77'), D'Arrigo (82')
Nov 10, 2019 7am
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