Australian A-League

Jun 13, 2021 at 6.05am UK

Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex 1

Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
Adelaide United

Parsons (56')
Aldred (67')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Juric (15', 19')
D'Arrigo (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Adelaide United
37.78%	24.24%	37.98%

Both teams to score 60.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.97%

42.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.57%

64.44%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78%

22.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36%

55.64%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88%

22.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51%

55.49%

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 37.78%

Adelaide United 37.98%

Draw 24.24%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.78%	1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.98%