Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 29.38% | 22.86% | 47.76% |
| Both teams to score 62.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% | 37.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.76% | 60.23% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% | 25.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% | 59.74% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% | 16.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.22% | 45.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 5.64% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-1 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.9% 1-4 @ 2.56% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.76% |