Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.06% | 19.28% | 63.66% |
Both teams to score 58.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.46% | 35.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.41% | 57.59% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.96% | 34.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.28% | 70.72% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.38% | 10.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.57% | 34.43% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 4.71% 1-0 @ 3.9% 2-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.77% Total : 17.06% | 1-1 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 3.61% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.28% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 9.09% 0-1 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 7.32% 0-3 @ 6.79% 1-4 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.95% 0-4 @ 3.81% 2-4 @ 2.21% 1-5 @ 1.84% 0-5 @ 1.71% 2-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.93% Total : 63.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |