Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 28.32% | 23.15% | 48.53% |
| Both teams to score 60.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.94% | 40.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.57% | 62.43% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% | 62.12% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% | 16.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.31% | 46.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% 1-0 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 3.89% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.32% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-1 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.7% 1-4 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.24% Total : 48.53% |