Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
42.98% | 26.09% | 30.93% |
Both teams to score 52.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.33% | 51.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.55% | 73.45% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% | 23.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.94% | 58.06% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% | 30.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.81% | 67.19% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.98% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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