Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Feb 6, 2021 at 6.05am UK

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Brisbane Roar
5 - 2
Victory

Wenzel-Halls (9'), McDonald (14', 35'), Danzaki (17', 49')
Brown (45+3'), Gillesphey (83')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Lawrie-Lattanzio (19'), Brimmer (45+5')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (33'), Broxham (43'), Shotton (79'), Kirdar (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne Victory
42.98%	26.09%	30.93%

Both teams to score 52.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.33%

51.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.55%

73.45%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13%

23.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94%

58.06%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1%

30.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81%

67.19%

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 42.98%

Melbourne Victory 30.93%

Draw 26.08%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.98%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.93%