Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 42.64% | 25.2% | 32.17% |
| Both teams to score 56.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.57% | 47.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% | 69.64% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% | 22.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% | 55.61% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% | 27.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% | 63.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.17% |