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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Jul 29, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne
Brisbane Roar

Victory
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Nabbout (86' pen.)
Barnett (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McDonald (56'), Ridenton (78')
Hingert (12')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
42.64%25.2%32.17%
Both teams to score 56.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57%47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36%69.64%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8%22.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39%55.61%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05%27.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42%63.58%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 42.64%
    Brisbane Roar 32.17%
    Draw 25.19%
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.64%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2019 9.30am
Gameweek 3
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Victory

Neville (39'), O'Donovan (62'), Aldred (80')
Nabbout (19')
Roux (8'), Deng (16'), Donachie (79'), Poulsen (89')
Mar 16, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 22
Victory
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Barbarouses (24', 39')
Bautheac (50')
Bautheac (17')
Jan 15, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 15
Brisbane Roar
0-5
Victory

Nigro (68'), Lopez (92')
Toivonen (14'), Barbarouses (48' pen., 72', 87'), Roux (65')
Dec 14, 2018 8.50am
Gameweek 8
Brisbane Roar
2-4
Victory
Taggart (27' pen.), Toivonen (42' og.)
Bautheac (19'), Bowles (31'), Taggart (40'), McKay (70')
Bautheac (21')
Barbarouses (13', 45'), Toivonen (32'), Honda (40')
Broxham (24')
Feb 9, 2018 8.50am
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