Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 2, 2026 at 8.35am UK
 
Perth Glory

VictoryMelbourne Victory
vs.
Perth GloryPerth Glory

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 5-1 Wellington
Monday, December 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-3 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 28 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Perth Glory has a probability of 23.49% and a draw has a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Perth Glory win is 1-2 (6.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.68%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
54.93% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)36.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.87% (0.0049999999999955 0)59.12% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)13.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.5% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)28.74% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.57% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 54.93%
    Perth Glory 23.49%
    Draw 21.57%
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 6.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.04%
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.02%
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 54.93%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 23.49%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2025 10.45am
Perth Glory
0-2
Victory
Feb 1, 2025 10.45am
gameweek 17
Perth Glory
0-2
Victory

Freney (78')
Velupillay (61'), Santos Rodrigus (66')
Teague (45+1')
Dec 8, 2024 6am
gameweek 7
Victory
2-0
Perth Glory
Machach (7', 7'), Traore (59', 59')

Risdon (35'), Risdon (35'), Canga (37'), Canga (37'), Carluccio (53'), Carluccio (53')
Mar 31, 2024 5am
gameweek 22
Victory
2-1
Perth Glory
Fornaroli (16', 53', 16', 53')
Velupillay (90+1'), Izzo (90+2'), Velupillay (90+1'), Izzo (90+2')
Bennie (61', 61')
Stajcic (76'), Stajcic (76')
Jan 6, 2024 10.45am
gameweek 11
Perth Glory
2-3
Victory
Taggart (20'), Majekodunmi (89')
Kamau (34'), Taggart (50')
Kamau (46')
Machach (42'), Adams (82'), Folami (90+6')
Adams (84')