Australian A-League
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-
Nikolaos Vergos
7'
-
Nikolaos Vergos
42'
-
Nikolaos Vergos
47'
-
Clarismario Santos Rodrigus
55'
-
Keegan Jelacic
90'
-
Adama Traore
90'+4'
-
Ramy Najjarine
29'
-
Manjrekar James
45'+2'
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result
Melbourne Victory
53.59%
▼
(-0.20)
Draw
22.61%
▲
(+0.15)
Wellington Phoenix
23.79%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
58.32%
▼
(-0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.5%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 2.5
41.49%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 3.5
36.11%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 3.5
63.89%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 4.5
19.1%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 4.5
80.9%
▲
(+0.48)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
84.52%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
15.48%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
55.64%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 1.5
44.35%
▲
(+0.53)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5
69%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
30.99%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
32.7%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
67.29%
▲
(+0.36)
Score analysis
Melbourne Victory
53.59%
Draw
22.61%
Wellington Phoenix
23.79%
Melbourne Victory
2-1
@
9.78%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 53.59%
1-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 53.59%
Draw
1-1
@
10.48%
▲
(+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.61%
2-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.61%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
@
6.14%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.79%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
26
-
Corban Piper
10'
-
Corban Piper
10'
-
Paulo Retre
75'
-
Paulo Retre
75'
-
Nishan Velupillay
4'
-
Nishan Velupillay
4'
-
Zinedine Machach
45'+1'
-
Zinedine Machach
45'+1'
-
Nikolaos Vergos
50'
-
Nikolaos Vergos
50'
-
Lachlan Jackson
57'
-
Lachlan Jackson
57'
-
Brendan Hamill
78'
-
Brendan Hamill
78'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
19
-
Nikolaos Vergos
57'
-
Nikolaos Vergos
58'
-
Joshua Rawlins
65'
-
Mitchell Langerak
90'+4'
-
Matthew Sheridan
75'
-
Sam Sutton
89'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
5
-
Alex Rufer
62'
-
Alex Rufer
62'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
82'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
82'
-
Kasey Bos
30'
-
Kasey Bos
30'
Australian A-League
-
Youstin Salas
90'+1'
-
Youstin Salas
90'+1'
-
Oskar Zawada
90'+9'
-
Oskar Zawada
90'+9'
-
Daniel Arzani
30'
-
Daniel Arzani
30'
-
Adama Traore
81'
-
Adama Traore
82'
-
Connor Chapman
97'
-
Connor Chapman
97'
-
Chris Ikonomidis
102'
-
Chris Ikonomidis
102'
Australian A-League
-
Daniel Arzani
88'
-
Daniel Arzani
88'
-
David Ball
41'
-
David Ball
41'
-
Nicholas Pennington
52'
-
Nicholas Pennington
52'
-
Alex Rufer
90'+5'
-
Alex Rufer
90'+5'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
24
-
Tim Payne
31'
-
David Ball
65'
-
Finn Surman
90'+5'
-
Fabian Monge
34'
-
Damien Da Silva
90'+1'