Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 29, 2025 at 8am UK
 
Wellington Phoenix

VictoryMelbourne Victory
vs.
WellingtonWellington Phoenix

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Victory
Saturday, December 20 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 3-1 Central Coast
Sunday, December 21 at 2am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 23.49% and a draw has a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
54.13%22.38%23.49%
Both teams to score 58.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26%40.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87%63.12%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96%15.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47%43.53%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17%30.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89%67.1%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 54.13%
    Wellington Phoenix 23.49%
    Draw 22.37%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 6.18%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 23.49%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2025 6am
gameweek 26
Wellington
2-3
Victory
Piper (10', 10'), Retre (75', 75')
Velupillay (4', 4'), Machach (45+1', 45+1'), Vergos (50', 50')
Jackson (57'), Jackson (57'), Hamill (78'), Hamill (78')
Feb 14, 2025 8.35am
gameweek 19
Victory
1-0
Wellington
Vergos (57')
Vergos (58'), Rawlins (65'), Langerak (90+4')

Sheridan (75'), Sutton (89')
Nov 24, 2024 2.30am
gameweek 5
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Barbarouses (82', 82')
Rufer (62'), Rufer (62')

Bos (30'), Bos (30')
May 18, 2024 7.30am
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (90+9', 90+9')
Salas (90+1'), Salas (90+1')
Traore (81', 82'), Ikonomidis (102', 102')
Arzani (30'), Arzani (30'), Chapman (97'), Chapman (97')
> Preview
May 12, 2024 7am
Victory
0-0
Wellington
Arzani (88'), Arzani (88')
Ball (41'), Ball (41'), Pennington (52'), Pennington (52'), Rufer (90+5'), Rufer (90+5')