Australian A-League

Dec 13, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Victory Melbourne Victory
2-1
Adelaide United Adelaide United

Vergos (24', 46')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pierias (86')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 13 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Next Game: Melbourne City vs. Victory
Saturday, December 20 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 13 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Next Game: Perth Glory vs. Adelaide United
Saturday, December 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
42.09%	23.12%	34.8%

Both teams to score 64.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.14%

36.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.97%

59.03%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98%

18.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.1%

48.9%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59%

21.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59%

54.4%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 42.09%

Adelaide United 34.8%

Draw 23.12%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.84% Total : 42.09%	1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.73% 0-0 @ 3.86% 3-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 7.85% 0-1 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.8%