Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.42%) and 1-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.