Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.42%) and 1-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 51.11% | 21.52% | 27.37% |
| Both teams to score 66.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.15% | 32.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.46% | 54.54% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% | 13.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.96% | 40.03% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% | 23.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% | 57.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 6.42% 1-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 1.08% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 3.14% 3-3 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.15% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.37% |